Anthropic’s Jack Clark: More than a 50% chance AI will train its successor by 2027, but recursive self-improvement is “close to zero”
Anthropic’s Jack Clark said there is more than a 50% chance that AI will reach the point of being able to train successor AI by 2027. At the same time, he said the prospect of AI carrying out self-improvement next year is “close to zero.” We unpack the distinction between capability and execution.